GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/5/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.2 against 44.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasDLDLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hamilton OlympicLWWDD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasHamilton Olympic
57.1Attack61.9
47.6Defence39.7
34.9Form33.3
46.2Power44.3
2.29xG1.81
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