GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/17/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasWDLLD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Edgeworth EaglesLLDDW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Lambton JaffasEdgeworth Eagles
57.1Attack63.5
47.6Defence54.0
34.9Form61.9
46.2Power62.1
1.65xG1.97
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