GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/3/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Edgeworth EaglesWWDWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasEdgeworth Eagles
57.1Attack63.5
47.6Defence54.0
34.9Form61.9
46.2Power62.1
1.65xG1.97
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