GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/6/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cooks Hill United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cooks Hill United hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Cooks Hill UnitedDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lambton JaffasCooks Hill United
57.1Attack61.9
47.6Defence46.0
34.9Form47.6
46.2Power51.1
2.00xG1.86
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