GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/22/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

75.3%

Model confidence

75.3%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasWWWWD

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Charlestown City BluesWDLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lambton JaffasCharlestown City Blues
57.1Attack39.7
47.6Defence14.3
34.9Form22.2
46.2Power28.4
3.39xG1.12
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