GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/13/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

75.3%

Model confidence

75.3%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Charlestown City BluesLLDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasCharlestown City Blues
57.1Attack39.7
47.6Defence14.3
34.9Form22.2
46.2Power28.4
3.39xG1.12
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