GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 9/9/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Broadmeadow Magic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Broadmeadow MagicWLWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lambton JaffasBroadmeadow Magic
57.1Attack81.0
47.6Defence63.5
34.9Form73.0
46.2Power71.8
1.27xG2.58
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