GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Belmont SwanseaWDWWD

GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasBelmont Swansea
57.1Attack71.4
47.6Defence34.9
34.9Form55.6
46.2Power55.7
2.37xG2.18
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