GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/12/2025, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasDDLDL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Belmont SwanseaDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Lambton JaffasBelmont Swansea
57.1Attack71.4
47.6Defence34.9
34.9Form55.6
46.2Power55.7
2.37xG2.18
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