GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/11/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

58.6%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adamstown RosebudsLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lambton JaffasAdamstown Rosebuds
57.1Attack49.2
47.6Defence31.7
34.9Form33.3
46.2Power40.1
2.61xG1.43
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