Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Văn Hiến · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lam Dong 3-0 Văn Hiến
Original prediction
Văn Hiến
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 35.8% | 31.9% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 29.8% | 29.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.3% | 38.8% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Văn Hiến
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Văn Hiến has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lam DongLLL
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00
BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Văn HiếnWDDWL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Lam DongVăn Hiến
16.7Attack16.7
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form66.7
21.5Power64.8
0.95xG1.26