Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pho Hien · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lam Dong 1-2 Pho Hien
Original prediction
Pho Hien
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 02:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.21 | 14.4% | 28.0% | 13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.4% | 25.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 63.3% | 47.1% | -16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Pho Hien
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Pho Hien has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lam DongLWLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Pho HienWDLWW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Lam DongPho Hien
33.3Attack58.3
33.3Defence33.3
25.0Form58.3
31.6Power53.0
1.32xG1.61