Lake Macquarievs
Weston Bears
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/30/2023, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Lake Macquarie are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Weston Bears are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 47.5-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
86.1%
Model confidence
86.1%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20