GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/10/2024, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.60 conceded, while Weston Bears are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 47.5-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

86.1%

Model confidence

86.1%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 23 · avg 1.00/4.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Weston BearsWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieWeston Bears
30.3Attack76.2
0.0Defence47.6
6.1Form63.5
14.9Power62.4
0.92xG4.29
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