Lake Macquarievs
Weston Bears
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/10/2024, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.60 conceded, while Weston Bears are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 47.5-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
86.1%
Model confidence
86.1%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 23 · avg 1.00/4.60
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40