GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 8/1/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while West Wallsend are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.9% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

83.9%

Model confidence

83.9%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLWDLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
West WallsendDLWDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieWest Wallsend
100.0Attack50.0
55.6Defence13.0
75.9Form35.2
73.6Power33.7
4.50xG1.13
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