Lake Macquarievs
Valentine
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/9/2023, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 6.20 conceded, while Valentine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valentine
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 31 · avg 0.40/6.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80