Lake Macquarievs
Valentine
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/15/2024, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Valentine are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valentine
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60