GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Toronto Awaba Stags are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 41.3-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.6% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

86.6%

Model confidence

86.6%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieWWWLW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto Awaba StagsLWLLL

GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Lake MacquarieToronto Awaba Stags
100.0Attack42.6
55.6Defence20.4
75.9Form25.9
73.6Power32.3
4.50xG0.96
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