Lake Macquarievs
Toronto Awaba Stags
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 8/9/2025, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Lake Macquarie are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Toronto Awaba Stags are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 41.3-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.6% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lake Macquarie
Probability
86.6%
Model confidence
86.6%
Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60