GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Mediumconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while South Cardiff are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and lake Macquarie hold a 40.3-point power-rating edge (72.7 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely result in the NNSW League 1, favouring Lake Macquarie with 13.2% confidence, a 49% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

90.3%

Model confidence

13.2%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieWWWWW

GF 24 · GA 5 · avg 4.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
South CardiffLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lake MacquarieSouth Cardiff
100.0Attack27.5
54.9Defence37.3
74.5Form23.5
72.7Power32.5
4.28xG0.69
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