GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 3/14/2025, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.60 conceded, while South Cardiff are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 40.4-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.1% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

89.1%

Model confidence

89.1%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 23 · avg 0.60/4.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
South CardiffLLLLW

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Lake MacquarieSouth Cardiff
100.0Attack27.8
55.6Defence38.9
75.9Form24.1
73.6Power33.2
4.18xG0.68
View match centre →