GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/13/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Lambton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 6.00 conceded, while New Lambton are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and New Lambton hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while New Lambton holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Lambton

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

New Lambton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 30 · avg 0.40/6.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
New LambtonLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieNew Lambton
30.3Attack37.9
0.0Defence7.6
6.1Form18.2
14.9Power23.6
1.71xG1.92
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