GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 5/9/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while New Lambton are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

64.6%

Model confidence

7.4%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieWLWDL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
New LambtonWDWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lake MacquarieNew Lambton
100.0Attack75.9
55.6Defence44.4
75.9Form59.3
73.6Power58.3
3.52xG1.84
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