Lake Macquarievs
New Lambton
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 5/9/2026, 6:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Lake Macquarie are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while New Lambton are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lake Macquarie
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
7.4%
Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80