GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/6/2024, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Maitland are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 45.1-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

80.2%

Model confidence

80.2%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MaitlandLWWLL

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieMaitland
30.3Attack60.3
0.0Defence50.8
6.1Form61.9
14.9Power60.0
0.86xG3.38
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