GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/9/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.25 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

74.8%

Model confidence

74.8%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLLLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.50/3.25

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Lambton JaffasWWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Lake MacquarieLambton Jaffas
30.3Attack57.1
0.0Defence47.6
6.1Form34.9
14.9Power46.2
0.96xG3.07
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