GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 2/24/2024, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 5.20 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

74.8%

Model confidence

74.8%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 26 · avg 0.60/5.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Lambton JaffasWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieLambton Jaffas
30.3Attack57.1
0.0Defence47.6
6.1Form34.9
14.9Power46.2
0.96xG3.07
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