GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 3/28/2025, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Kahibah are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
KahibahWWWLW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieKahibah
100.0Attack79.7
55.6Defence52.2
75.9Form59.4
73.6Power62.0
3.01xG1.95
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