GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/3/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

74.5%

Model confidence

74.5%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hamilton OlympicLWLWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieHamilton Olympic
30.3Attack61.9
0.0Defence39.7
6.1Form33.3
14.9Power44.3
1.11xG3.30
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