GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/27/2024, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

83.0%

Model confidence

83.0%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Edgeworth EaglesWWLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lake MacquarieEdgeworth Eagles
30.3Attack63.5
0.0Defence54.0
6.1Form61.9
14.9Power62.1
0.81xG3.57
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