GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/28/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dudley Redhead United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

9.0%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieWWLWW

GF 21 · GA 5 · avg 4.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Dudley Redhead UnitedDDWDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Lake MacquarieDudley Redhead United
100.0Attack48.1
55.6Defence51.9
75.9Form51.9
73.6Power51.4
3.11xG1.15
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