GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/20/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Dudley Redhead United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

71.6%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLLLWW

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Dudley Redhead UnitedLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Lake MacquarieDudley Redhead United
100.0Attack48.1
55.6Defence51.9
75.9Form51.9
73.6Power51.4
3.11xG1.15
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