GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/26/2023, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlestown City Blues · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlestown City Blues hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Charlestown City Blues holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlestown City Blues

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Charlestown City Blues has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.67/3.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Charlestown City BluesWWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Lake MacquarieCharlestown City Blues
30.3Attack39.7
0.0Defence14.3
6.1Form22.2
14.9Power28.4
1.65xG2.03
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