Lake Macquarievs
Cessnock City Hornets
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 7/4/2025, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Cessnock City Hornets are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.3% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lake Macquarie
Probability
82.3%
Model confidence
82.3%
Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00