GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/15/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Broadmeadow Magic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 56.9-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

91.3%

Model confidence

91.3%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 25 · avg 1.00/5.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Broadmeadow MagicWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieBroadmeadow Magic
30.3Attack81.0
0.0Defence63.5
6.1Form73.0
14.9Power71.8
0.63xG4.50
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