GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/4/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.60 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Adamstown Rosebuds hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (14.9 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 23 · avg 0.80/4.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Adamstown RosebudsWLLLD

GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Lake MacquarieAdamstown Rosebuds
30.3Attack49.2
0.0Defence31.7
6.1Form33.3
14.9Power40.1
1.27xG2.60
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