Lajensevs
Vitoria Setubal
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lajense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lajense 0-1 Vitoria Setubal
Original prediction
Lajense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.4% | 43.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 27.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.0% | 29.3% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Lajense
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Lajense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60