Lajensevs
1º Dezembro
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lajense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lajense 0-1 1º Dezembro
Original prediction
Lajense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.1% | 41.2% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.4% | 28.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.5% | 30.1% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Lajense
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Lajense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80