Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lahti 0-0 Turku PS, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lahti 5-1 Turku PS
Original prediction
Lahti
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 55.2% | 45.7% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 24.0% | 30.3% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.8% | 24.0% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Projected Score
Lahti 0–0 Turku PS
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LahtiLDLWW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Turku PSLLLDD
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LahtiTurku PS
38.5Attack35.9
67.9Defence64.1
46.2Form41.0
52.1Power48.5
0.90xG0.62