GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 10/3/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Lahti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lahti

Probability

71.5%

Model confidence

71.5%

Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LahtiWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SJK AkatemiaDWLDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
LahtiSJK Akatemia
66.7Attack15.8
63.0Defence56.1
71.6Form21.1
68.6Power34.1
2.11xG0.50
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