Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Lahti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while SalPa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
76.6%
Model confidence
76.6%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80