Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lahti are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while PK-35 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20