Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lahti · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FC Lahti are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KäPa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lahti hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while FC Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lahti
Probability
76.4%
Model confidence
76.4%
FC Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60