Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Lahti are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60