Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Lahti are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
68.5%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40