Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FC Lahti are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while JIPPO are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lahti hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while FC Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lahti
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
FC Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40