Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Lahti are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Haka are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 38.4-point power-rating edge (79.8 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40