Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lahti 1-0 FF Jaro, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lahti 1-1 FF Jaro
Original prediction
Lahti
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 58.6% | 69.5% | 10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.4% | 20.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 5.13 | 18.1% | 10.3% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Projected Score
Lahti 1–0 FF Jaro
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LahtiLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FF JaroDLLLL
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LahtiFF Jaro
40.3Attack26.4
68.1Defence34.7
48.6Form22.2
53.5Power30.5
1.81xG0.44