Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laholm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laholm 1-1 Tvååker
Original prediction
Laholm
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.3% | 41.5% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 23.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.5% | 34.9% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Laholm
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Laholm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LaholmWLLDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TvååkerLLLLD
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LaholmTvååker
44.4Attack44.0
41.7Defence48.0
34.7Form44.0
42.4Power48.2
1.47xG1.44