Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laholm 5-1 Olympic
Original prediction
Olympic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.6% | 38.4% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.5% | 21.1% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.9% | 40.5% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Olympic
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LaholmWDWLL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OlympicWWLLD
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LaholmOlympic
43.6Attack62.8
44.9Defence35.9
37.2Form42.3
44.1Power46.8
1.79xG1.93