GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Laholm · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Laholm 2-3 Kristianstad

Original prediction

Laholm

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8947.7%45.4%-2.3 pts
Draw3.5325.5%27.5%2.0 pts
Away3.3626.8%27.1%0.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Laholm

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Laholm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LaholmDWLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KristianstadLDLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LaholmKristianstad
22.2Attack33.3
100.0Defence0.0
77.8Form0.0
70.7Power15.3
1.53xG0.89
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